Thursday, November 01, 2012

Endorsements

"Obama can boast a record of accomplishment that bests any president since Roosevelt, and has fewer demerits on his record than any of them, including Roosevelt. The only president that comes close in gross positive accomplishment is Lyndon Johnson, whose successes were overwhelmed by his failures to such a degree that he abandoned his reelection campaign. The immediacy of the political moment can — and usually does — blind us. (In the aftermath of September 11, 2001, the wide and even bipartisan sentiment prevailed that George W. Bush was exactly the right sort of person we would want to have as president at that moment.)" 

-- Jonathan Chait, NY Mag

Aha! there you are; talking about LBJ. Only slowly History is waking up to the colossal achievements what that guy attained. History knew LBJ's screw-ups in real time, but his positive contributions took time to realize. As every year American Historians try to judge & compare all presidencies; redemption of LBJ is on display. Is Obama finding a place there? I think Americans and Liberals will be more than happy to take a deal where Obama's achievements compare with LBJ whereas he has smartness to avoid hubris of LBJ. That will be a good deal for us and that is what Obama should be 'on' in his second term

My bets in 2012 election - From Obama's 2008 electoral map he looses FL (29), NC (15). Chances are not good in CO (9) and NH (4). I think he carries OH (18), IA (6), WI (10), VA (13), PA (20), NV (6) and NM (5). So even if CO and NH join FL and NC; we are talking here Obama giving 57 electoral votes from his 365 tally in 2008. That means he will get 308 or so. High chances Obama getting 300+ and coming back. That is where I will stick my neck. 

Of many others who have struck their endorsements for Obama, I think endorsements of NY Mayor Bloomberg and Collin Powell are significant (if not necessarily very influential). Among Punditry, I find Chait's endorsement much more intelligent compared to Washington Post Editorial (not bad though), Andrew Sullivan (probably too much sugar...) and NYT Editorial (what is new there? Last time NYT endorsed a GOP candidate in Eisenhower era, that was in 1956!).

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